ศูนย์นวัตกรรมเทคโนโลยีหลังการเก็บเกี่ยว

China's rising imports will not cause global grain shortage.

Crook, F.; Coyle, W. T.;

Agricultural Economic Report - Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture Year: 1996 Issue: No. 734 Pages: 19-23

1996

บทคัดย่อ

China's grain import needs are forecast to increase in the future as rising incomes, a changing diet, and limited agricultural land resources will cause consumption to rise more rapidly than production. Production is expected to expand by about 1% per year in the next decade despite declining land availability due to urbanization. At present, yields are lower than reported in official statistics because those statistics significantly underestimate planted area. Thus China's yields have ample leeway to rise in the future, with better management, higher yielding seeds, greater use of inputs like fertilizer, reduced postharvest losses, and significant scope for expansion of double and triple cropping in southern China.